Part 31: Betting Knowledge: Recency Bias

Follow These Steps To Become A Successful Punter

Identify Recency Bias in Markets

Bookmakers and bettors often overvalue recent performances, causing inflated odds on teams that had recent success.

Why It Matters:

• Recency bias leads to overpriced favorites and undervalued teams that may have performed poorly in their last game.

• Long-term consistency matters more than one-off results.

Application:

• Look for teams coming off heavy defeats that may be undervalued for their next fixture.

• Fade teams that are on long winning streaks but statistically over performing.